Thursday, July 11, 2019

Patriot on a Bike


ADPblog

Tuesday, May 16, 2006

Patriot on a bike
As a ten year old living outside Boston, I was riveted by the bicentennial of Patriots Day. The true Patriot’s Day - April 19th, 1775 -  when the “shot heard round the world” was fired at Lexington and Concord. I was engrossed with the drama of Paul Revere’s ‘midnight ride’ to alert the Minutemen/farmers to grab their muskets and  run to protect their leaders and munitions. Revere heralded a threat to their freedoms and on a minute's notice they acted. Ideals of freedom and independence animated the revolution in a way that’s lost to us today. After all, how can an addict - by definition ‘dependent’ - be truly free? And according to our own President we are addicted - to oil.

What happened?  Like the minutemen, we were warned.  In 1956, a bespectacled geo-physicist—M. King Hubbert -faced the American Petroleum Institute and predicted that US oil production would reach peak output around 1970.  His employer, Shell Oil, asked him to retract his prediction, but he did not.  He was correct and his theories are now broadly accepted.  Dubbed “Hubbert’s Curve” ,  he showed that oil supply follows a predictable bell-like curve; reaching a peak, followed by decline.  Now, a mass of evidence indicates we are near if not past peak production globally. If so, the advent of an unprecedented world-wide energy crisis is upon us.

Conservation and development of alternative fuels are essential but not enough. Taken alone, they may even feed our denial.  The simple truth is that our “way of life” and prosperity are premised on cheap and plentiful petroleum. If that premise changes, society must do likewise. A drop in oil supply will intensify global competition for it.  To maintain our easy-motoring, “non-negotiable” lifestyle, more wars are likely and a permanent Middle East presence essential.  Anti-war bumper stickers on gas-guzzlers cruising around the suburbs will be ironic if not delusional.

Unlike our forebears, who needed only their musket, courage and two legs to protect their freedoms, we addicts are dependent on events and leaders in countries beyond our control.  Only an addict would shamefully ask others to sacrifice their lives while remaining unwilling to sacrifice their own lifestyle.

What’s a true patriot to do?  Even our food depends on petroleum as fertilizer and feed supplement. Change will come.  Avoiding tumultuous economic and social upheaval will depend on whether we, like the Minutemen, heed the call to act.  Yet the media ignores the global oil peak and politicians’ actions (such a recent talk about a tax credit to offset high gas prices) suspiciously resemble voter-appeasing bribes and pretexts to undermine environmental protections.  In short, our leaders offer little more than helping us find our next fix.

Patriots today must act independently—and we have choices.  We can buy locally and invest responsibly.  Live and shop in walkable communities. Use more rail and bikes. Simple acts individually can collectively prompt infrastructure changes.  It’s already happening! Increased use is pressuring the South Shore Line to build more rail cars. This week local bike coalitions are promoting National Bike to Work week while advocating for more bike paths and safety lanes. You can act by biking to work and checking their website—Michiana Bicycle Association (MBAbike.com)—for ideas.

Change isn’t easy, but compared to those who, in 1775, left their families deep in the night to defy the world’s superpower, riding a train or biking to work is hardly a profound sacrifice.  M. King Hubbert observed,  Our ignorance is not so vast as our failure to use what we know”.  Like the minutemen, we citizen-patriots need to use our heads, hearts and even our legs again. We need courage to act and even sacrifice to preserve our freedoms.

Postscript: The success of fracking in increasing production has seemingly changed this dynamic. However, we do not yet know the environmental cost of fracking which could end up being substantial. 
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